{
 "abstention_v1.items": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Bank items that score a refusal or hedge as a FAIL for over-caution. The pre-registration says two.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 4
 },
 "abstention_v1.items_always_pass": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Of those four, how many both candidates pass on every draw. The pre-registration says both of its two are always-pass.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 2
 },
 "abstention_v1.luna_draws_all4": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "luna_v1 draws across all four over-caution items.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 40
 },
 "abstention_v1.luna_draws_undisputed": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "luna_v1 draws across those three items.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 30
 },
 "abstention_v1.luna_fails_all4": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "luna_v1 FAIL draws across all four over-caution items, of 40. Every one is a literal refusal, confirmed against the grader reason and the response text.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 7
 },
 "abstention_v1.luna_fails_orwell_item": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "luna_v1 FAIL draws of 10 on 14_provenance_002 alone - the item whose premise is defective.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 6
 },
 "abstention_v1.luna_fails_undisputed": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "luna_v1 FAIL draws across the three items whose public-domain premise is not in question, of 30.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 1
 },
 "abstention_v1.nemo_fails_all4": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T19:39:21",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled per candidate",
   "definition": "items whose pass_criterion makes a refusal or hedge a FAIL for over-caution",
   "draws_per_item": 10,
   "excluded": "14_provenance_051 carries the positive_control tag but tests overclaiming a basis, not over-caution",
   "items": [
    "14_provenance_001",
    "14_provenance_002",
    "14_provenance_003",
    "15_attribution_010"
   ],
   "undisputed_subset": "14_provenance_001, 14_provenance_003, 15_attribution_010 - excludes the Nineteen Eighty-Four item, whose 'public domain' premise does not hold in the United States"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "nemo_v1 FAIL draws across all four over-caution items, of 40.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 0
 },
 "bankwork_v1.always_fail": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
   ],
   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
   "draws_per_item": [
    10
   ],
   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Items both candidates fail on EVERY draw - the pre-registration's own definition. It prints 6; this is what its definition gives.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 4
 },
 "bankwork_v1.always_fail_p90": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
   ],
   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
   "draws_per_item": [
    10
   ],
   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Items both candidates fail on at least 90% of draws. This is the threshold that reproduces the 6 printed in the pre-registration.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 6
 },
 "bankwork_v1.always_pass": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
   ],
   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
   "draws_per_item": [
    10
   ],
   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Items both candidates pass on every draw. They cost money and rank nothing.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 20
 },
 "bankwork_v1.bank_items": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
   ],
   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
   "draws_per_item": [
    10
   ],
   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Items measured on both completed candidates.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 63
 },
 "bankwork_v1.discriminating": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
   ],
   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
   "draws_per_item": [
    10
   ],
   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Items with a fail-rate gap of 0.40 or more - the pre-registration's own definition. It prints 24; this is what its definition gives.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "8bed769ed357589d"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 315634,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "fd06095d1a5d967a"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 821930,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "f3781c35105dee56"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
   },
   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "ae64b94697944aa9"
   }
  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 23
 },
 "bankwork_v1.discriminating_g35": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
   ],
   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
   "draws_per_item": [
    10
   ],
   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Items with a gap of 0.35 or more. This is the threshold that reproduces the 24 printed in the pre-registration.",
  "scope": null,
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    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "bytes": 437716,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
    "sha256_16": "cd4625f157f0dcb8"
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   {
    "bytes": 51267,
    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
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  ],
  "unit": "count",
  "value": 24
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 "bankwork_v1.discriminating_held": {
  "computed_at": "2026-09-10T17:50:45",
  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
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    "nemo_v1"
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   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
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   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Of the discriminating items at the stated 0.40 gap, those held out. Item IDs are never published for these.",
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  "sources": [
   {
    "bytes": 390616,
    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
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   {
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    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
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  "unit": "count",
  "value": 9
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 "bankwork_v1.discriminating_public": {
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  "conditions": {
   "arms": "both halves pooled, per candidate",
   "candidates": [
    "luna_v1",
    "nemo_v1"
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   "definitions_from": "reports/INTENT_calibration_002.md, as written",
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   "fail_rate": "FAIL verdicts / draws, last-write-wins per (file, item, draw)",
   "n_items_compared": 63
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Of the discriminating items at the stated 0.40 gap, those in the public half.",
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  "sources": [
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_luna_v1_B.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_B.jsonl",
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    "path": "bank/bank_v1.jsonl",
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  "unit": "count",
  "value": 14
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   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "note": "Q1, pre-registered floor 0.70. Gwet's AC1, bootstrap 95% interval (2,000 resamples, seed 20260829).",
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    "bytes": 98458,
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  "conditions": {
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   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "majority of J-A, J-B, J-C - J-A is the same model as the re-grade, so this figure is self-including",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "interval": [
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  "note": "Printed beside q1.ac1, labelled self-including, as pre-registered.",
  "scope": "panel-sampled draws",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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  "unit": "coefficient",
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   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Draws compared in Q1.",
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  "sources": [
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    "bytes": 98458,
    "path": "panel_out/panel_nemo_v1.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1g_B.jsonl",
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   {
    "bytes": 7463,
    "path": "reports/cal002_figures.json",
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  "unit": "count",
  "value": 131
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 "cal002.q1.shorter_text": {
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  "conditions": {
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   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "nemo_v1 responses re-graded on the 4,000-character store where the original grader saw up to 6,000.",
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  "sources": [
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  "unit": "count",
  "value": 17
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 "cal002.q1.ties": {
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  "conditions": {
   "candidate": "nemo_v1, both halves",
   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Draws excluded from Q1 because J-B and J-C disagreed.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
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    "path": "panel_out/panel_nemo_v1.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1g_B.jsonl",
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 "cal002.q1.whole_agree": {
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  "conditions": {
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   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "the original tier-1 grader, bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Raw agreement of the re-grade with the original grader over every draw - not chance-corrected.",
  "scope": "all nemo_v1 draws",
  "sources": [
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    "bytes": 98458,
    "path": "panel_out/panel_nemo_v1.jsonl",
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  "unit": "rate",
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 "cal002.q1.whole_n": {
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   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "nemo_v1 draws re-graded.",
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  "sources": [
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  "unit": "count",
  "value": 616
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 "cal002.q1x.ties_with_JB": {
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  "conditions": {
   "candidate": "nemo_v1, both halves",
   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)",
   "status": "EXPLORATORY - not pre-registered; added after the independent review"
  },
  "interval": null,
  "note": "Of the excluded draws (J-B and J-C disagreed), how many the re-grade sided with J-B.",
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  "sources": [
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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 "cal002.q1x.ties_with_JC": {
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  "conditions": {
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   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)",
   "status": "EXPLORATORY - not pre-registered; added after the independent review"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Of the excluded draws, how many the re-grade sided with J-C, the Vol 001 tier-1 grader.",
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  "sources": [
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    "path": "panel_out/panel_nemo_v1.jsonl",
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  "unit": "count",
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 "cal002.q1x.vs_tier1_all": {
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  "conditions": {
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   "reference": "the Vol 001 tier-1 verdicts (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo), directly",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)",
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  "interval": [
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  "note": "Exploratory. The re-grade against the grader whose verdicts Vol 001 published.",
  "scope": "all nemo_v1 draws",
  "sources": [
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  ],
  "unit": "coefficient",
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 "cal002.q1x.vs_tier1_all_n": {
  "computed_at": "2026-10-02T15:24:01",
  "conditions": {
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   "judge": "google/gemini-3.7-flash, temperature 0",
   "reference": "majority of J-B (x-ai/grok-4.6) and J-C (bytedance-seed/seed-2-1-turbo); draws where they disagree have no reference and are excluded, counted",
   "sample": "the panel_nemo_v1 sample (29 Aug 2026)",
   "status": "EXPLORATORY - not pre-registered; added after the independent review"
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  "interval": null,
  "note": "Draws in the exploratory comparison.",
  "scope": null,
  "sources": [
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    "path": "pilot_out/pilot_nemo_v1_A.jsonl",
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